Economic Report: Consumers Continue To Borrow At Steady Rate In February

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Senior economics reporter

Fixes the numbers on the pace of credit growth over the last three points.

Pedestrians and shoppers pass in the SoHo neighborhood of New York last summer.

The numbers: Consumer borrowing decelerated but only slightly in February, according to the Federal Reserve on Friday. Total consumer credit increased $15.2 billion in February to a seasonally adjusted $4 trillion. That’s an annual growth rate of 4.5%.

Economists has been expecting a $17 billion gain, according to Econoday. Credit rose a revised $17.7 billion in January, up slightly from the prior estimate of $17 billion. Over the prior three months, credit borrowing expanded at an average pace of $17.2 billion per month.

What happened: Revolving credit, like credit cards, accelerated in February, rising by 3.4% after a 3% gain in January. Nonrevolving credit, typically auto and student loans, had a smaller gain, rising 4.9% in February after a 6.1% rise in January.

Big picture: Consumer spending decelerated in the first quarter in the wake of the stock-market rout in final three months of 2018. But spending will still likely add to first-quarter growth. Contingent Macroeconomics estimated that spending will grow at a 1.4% rate in the first quarter. That’s down from a 2.5% rate seen in the fourth quarter and the tax-cut-fueled 3.7% average rate of credit growth seen over the second and third quarters last year.

Market reaction: The Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA, +0.15%   was only up less than 25 points in late Friday trading after the morning report from the Labor Department that job growth rebounded in March.

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