Chances Of A September Fed Rate Cut Increase

Traders work on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange.

Brendan McDermid | Reuters

Traders now see a bigger chance of another rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September after it lowered interest rates for the first time since 2008 and hinted at further accommodation.

The fed funds futures market now points to a 74% chance of at least a quarter-point rate cut at the Fed's September meeting, according to the CME FedWatch tool. Before the Fed's decision at 2 p.m. ET, traders were pricing in about a 68% chance of a rate reduction in September.

Traders are also pricing in two more cuts to the benchmark lending rate to a range of 150 to 175 basis points by the end of 2019.

The tool is based on futures pricing from live markets and reflect the views of traders placing real bets on the CME exchange.

The policymaking Federal Open Market Committee on Wednesday dropped the target range for its overnight lending rate to 2% to 2.25%, or 25 basis points from the previous level.

The Fed also left the door open to future cuts, saying it will "act as appropriate to sustain the expansion" as it continues to evaluate the incoming data.

The central bank cited "muted inflation" in its move and also ended its balance sheet reduction two months earlier.

RECENT NEWS

Stocks Rise After Better-than-expected Jobs Report To Close Out Winning Week

Stocks rose on Thursday following a better-than-expected U.S. jobs report as the economy tries to recover from the coron... Read more

Record Jobs Gain Of 4.8 Million In June Smashes Expectations; Unemployment Rate Falls To 11.1%

Another big contributor to the decline of the jobless rate was a plunge in those on temporary layoff. That total fell by... Read more

17.6 Million Unemployed Americans Probably Won't Return To Their Pre-pandemic Jobs

The share of the workforce currently out of work with no reasonable chance of returning to their jobs is about 11%, or a... Read more

GM, Fiat Chrysler U.S. Auto Sales Tank In Second Quarter As Coronavirus Saps Demand

U.S. vehicle sales in the second quarter for General Motors, Toyota Motor and Fiat Chrysler plunged by more than 30% Read more

Mortgage Demand Falls For The Second Straight Week, Signaling A Potential Slowdown In The Housing Recovery

The surge in mortgage demand from homebuyers over the past two months appears to be waning, even as mortgage rates conti... Read more

Fed's Bullard Warns Of Financial Crisis Risks As Virus Cases Spike, FT Reports

St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank president James Bullard has warned that a growing number of bankruptcies due to the coron... Read more